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Monday, January 4, 2010

A Beginners Look At ETF Trend Trading

By Patrick Deaton

If you've just entered ETF trading you are going to hear a lot about different types of trading, methods, and strategies. One of the popular discussions will include ETF Trend Trading. Some people talk about trend trading as though it is a separate kind of trading that isn't related to ETF trading as a whole. Some sites will talk about ETF trend trading as a way to increase one's gains in trading.

If you have started trading and are doing the analytical work to spot trends and patterns, and are acting on those trends, you are already trend trading. It is not a secret strategy or way to conduct trades. A successful trader does their homework and acts on the trends that they see coming in the sector, or industry they are trading within. So, let's take a look at trends and how you can use them more effectively.

The technical definition of ETF Trend Trading is to do an analysis of a sector, get in when the trend starts to move and get out when it reverses. If you've been following the instructions of your training, you are already trend trading. The people who do a technical analysis of a sector that covers a three to five year period are getting only a snapshot of the trends and patterns within a sector and will have less success with proactively capturing gains when there is a trend.

If a person enjoys doing analytical studies on sectors. Yes, some people do. It is easy to get bogged down in the analytics and indicators of sectors. To avoid this, it is good to set parameters for the amount of study and research one will do before taking advantage of some of the more obvious trends that are evident in a sector.

Short term trends are usually historical data for a sector covering one to three years. A technical analysis using historical data of one to three years is going to show only trends that occur in that time frame. When a person is going to use short term trends as their primary indicator, they will need to move very quickly in creating a long position when the trend rising or short when the trend is dropping and get out quickly when there is a blip on the screen. Employing only short term trending may prevent a person from seeing trends that occur within a longer time period.

Long term trends cover a sector for a ten to thirty year period. Within that chart will be intermediate term trends that occur on a regular basis. Some sectors, especially financial products have more long term and intermediate trends than short-term trends in the market. By identifying the intermediate trends and using them in combination with short term trends a person has opened a whole new level of opportunities for making strategic trades and gains in their trading efforts.

When traders act on trends without having the background to know when to get in and when to get out, they can suffer losses. However, a person can use an intermediate trend in a sector to their advantage if they know that the same patter occurs every four years and what the buy and sell limits for that trend should be.

When a person has a long term ETF, they are most interested in long-term trends. A sector that is in a rising trend for ten years, then reverses course rapidly can catch a person unaware if they have not done the technical analysis to prepare for that reverse. - 23208

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