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Tuesday, April 28, 2009

Factors That Affect the Forex Markets in the Short Term

By Hass67

Fundamental traders depend on fundamental analysis in trading forex. Technical traders depend on technical analysis in trading forex. But the importance of economic data cannot be underestimated in shaping trading strategies.

USD is the most important currency in the world. 90% of currency transactions are done in USD. In almost most of the currency trades, USD is either the base currency or the counter currency.

Choosing the right currency pair to trade is very important for you. USD is the most important currency and most probably you will be also trading USD most of the time. You should know that the release of certain economic data has significant and lasting impact on USD.

With time, you will learn that forex markets reaction to the release of different economic data also changes with time. US GDP figures used to be important for USD but they dont impact much.

EUR/USD is the most liquid pair in the forex markets. The release of Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) on the first Friday of every month is the most volatile day for this pair and other pairs involving USD as a base or counter currency.

Similarly, a few years back the release of US housing sales number every month was not important for the currency markets. But it has become very significant for USD in the recent years. Currency markets used to give more importance to US Trade Balance in the past but they dont react to these figures much now.

If you are a range trader who likes to scalp for a few pips every trade, you should avoid trading on the day NFP data is released. Release of NFP figures makes the markets jittery and highly volatile.

However, if you are a breakout trader, the knowledge of which economic data is expected to be released can help you in determining the size and confidence of the trade.

In brief, knowledge that certain economic indicators make the forex markets move most is important for you as a trader. It is also important for you to know that particular economic data, the market considers most important at any point in time.

You should also understand which economic data causes knee jerk reaction in the currency markets and which pieces of economic data will have lasting reaction in the currency markets. - 23208

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